Sports handicapper Steve Fezzik warns that the very strategy that elevated Detroit to playoff contention could become a liability in 2025.

Sports handicapper Steve Fezzik argues that the very strategy that helped propel Detroit into the postseason could ultimately become a liability in 2025. Speaking on the Even Money Podcast with Ross Tucker, Fezzik likened Campbell’s approach to an early poker innovator who disrupted the game but was eventually surpassed.

Fezzik criticized Campbell’s overreliance on risk-taking, saying, “The Lions are like Chris Moneymaker—they figured it out before anyone else: We want to go for it. We want to go for it far more than the rest of the league. They had an edge, but it’s not the most optimal approach. They make poor decisions. They go for it too often. For example, they went for it on fourth-and-goal from the 6-yard line, simply because that’s their philosophy.”

Fezzik specifically called out Detroit’s decision in the NFC Championship Game, when they passed up a field goal attempt that could have put them up by 17 points against San Francisco late in the third quarter. “That was a mistake,” he said.

Could the Detroit Lions Lose Their Edge?

As more teams around the NFL embrace data-driven decision-making and adapt to a more optimal strategy, Fezzik believes Detroit’s reckless aggression will eventually backfire. “The teams that were once too conservative have now embraced a smarter, more optimal approach. Meanwhile, the Lions continue to lean too heavily on aggression, which will become a disadvantage for them this year compared to many other teams,” Fezzik concluded.

The Bottom Line

While Dan Campbell has helped transform the Lions into contenders, his gamble-heavy mentality is now under intense scrutiny. Whether it will continue to fuel Detroit’s rise or eventually lead to frustrating setbacks remains to be seen.