The winning team model predicts the Jaguars will win this Week 18 game with 60.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Jaguars vs Titans Spread Prediction
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Jaguars will cover the spread with 62.9% confidence.
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Jaguars players this Week 18 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Christian Kirk has hit the Receptions Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.40 Units / 30% ROI)
Trevor Lawrence has hit the Completions Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+6.35 Units / 30% ROI)
Evan Engram has hit the Receptions Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+5.70 Units / 34% ROI)
Travis Etienne has hit the Longest Rush Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)
Zay Jones has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.05 Units / 28% ROI)
Jaguars Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Jaguars went 9-7 (+1.4 Units / 7.98% ROI).
Jaguars are 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.7 Units / -12.61% ROI
Jaguars are 7-9 when betting the Over for -2.9 Units / -16.48% ROI
Jaguars are 9-7 when betting the Under for +1.3 Units / ROI
Titans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Titans went 6-9 (-3.75 Units / -21.55% ROI).
Titans are 5-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -5.9% ROI
Titans are 5-11 when betting the Over for -7.1 Units / -40.34% ROI
Titans are 11-5 when betting the Under for +5.5 Units / 31.25% ROI
Jacksonville Jaguars: Keys to the Game vs. the Tennessee Titans
The Jaguars are 7-2 (.778) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — 6th-best in NFL. The Titans has allowed an average time of possession of 31 min and 31 s this season — 5th-highest in NFL.
The Jaguars are 1-5 (.167) when rushing less than 25 times this season — 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .281.
The Jaguars are 8-2 (.800) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season — T-3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .587.
The Jaguars are 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 10 rushes of four or more yards this season — 10th-best in NFL; League Avg: .679.
Tennessee Titans: Keys to the Game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars
The Titans are 2-5 (.286) when forcing 2 or more turnovers since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .709.
The Titans are winless (0-5) after a win this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Titans are 1-10 (.091) when scoring less than 22 points this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .246.
The Titans are 4-11 (.267) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
Additional Matchup Notes for Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Tennessee Titans
The Titans have a third down conversion rate of just 32.3% this season — 5th-worst in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 35.6% this season — 5th-best in NFL.
The Titans have a third down conversion rate of just 10.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — 3rd-worst in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 6.2% on 3rd and 10+ YTG this season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Titans have a third down conversion rate of just 10.8% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2022 season — worst in NFL. The Jaguars defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of just 12.3% on 3rd and 10+ YTG since the 2022 season — 2nd-best in NFL.
The Jaguars are averaging just 3.5 yards per carry this season — T-2nd-worst in NFL. The Titans have allowed just 3.9 yards per carry this season — T-4th-best in NFL.
The Jaguars are 7-2 (.778) when possessing the ball longer than their opponent this season — 6th-best in NFL. The Titans has allowed an average time of possession of 31 min and 31 s this season — 5th-highest in NFL.
Jaguars WRs have averaged 24.0 targets per game since Week 14 — 2nd-highest in NFL. The Titans have allowed 15.2 receptions per game to WRs since Week 14 — 2nd-worst in NFL.
Jacksonville Jaguars Offense: Important Stats
The Jaguars have thrown the ball 79% of the time (11 Pass Attempts/14 plays) on 3rd and short since Week 14 — highest in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Jaguars gained at least 5 yards on 23% of first down plays in Week 17 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 45%.
The Jaguars have run the ball on 7% of plays (1 carries/14 plays) on 3rd and short since Week 14 — lowest in NFL; League Avg: 53%.
The Jaguars have run successful plays on 32% of rush attempts in the 4th quarter this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 40%.
Tennessee Titans Offense: Important Stats
The Titans did not record a TD in 10 drives in Week 17 — T-worst Drives Per TD rate in NFL; League Avg: 4.9.
The Titans have allowed a QB Hit on 30% of pass attempts this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
The Titans have run successful plays on 25% of plays in the 3rd quarter since Week 14 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42%.
The Titans allowed a QB hit on 42% of pass attempts in Week 17 — worst in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
Jacksonville Jaguars Defense: Important Stats
The Jaguars defense forced three and outs on 60% of opponent drives in Week 17 — best in NFL; League Avg: 20%.
The Jaguars defense allowed a third down conversion rate of 8% in Week 17 — best in NFL; League Avg: 38%.
The Jaguars defense allowed just 2.1 yards per dropback (67 yards/32 attempts) in Week 17 — best in NFL; League Avg: 7.1.
The Jaguars defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 6% on third and 10+ yards to go this season — 2nd-best in NFL; League Avg: 17%.
Tennessee Titans Defense: Important Stats
The Titans defense has intercepted 4 of 528 attempts (132.0 pass attempts per int.) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 42.8.
The Titans defense has allowed 4.5 TDs per interception (18 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: 1.8.
The Titans defense has averaged 0.2 interceptions per game (4/16) this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: 0.8.
The Titans defense has allowed successful plays on 36% of rush attempts since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: 43%.
