We will make an MLB prediction for the Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins game on Friday, June 28 at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington, in this article. Let’s examine the forecast for this series’ opening game.
Mariners Trying to Turn Things Around
The Seattle Mariners have dropped six of their past eight games and are 46-37 on the season. Seattle just suffered a series defeat to Tampa Bay, dropping two of the three games.
The Mariners had previously swept the Rangers in three games, lost two of three against the Guardians, and lost two of three against the Marlins. Though their lead over the Astros is now only 4.5 games, Seattle is still in first place in the AL West standings.
The pitching staff in Seattle has an opponent batting average of.219, a 1.08 WHIP, and a 3.57 ERA. With a on base percentage of.299 and a batting average of.219, the Mariners offense has scored 325 runs.
For the Mariners this season, Cal Raleigh is batting.204 with 14 home runs and 49 RBIs. For the past eight games, Seattle has managed to score three runs or less five times.
Twins are Pursuing the Guardians
The Minnesota Twins have won four of their past five games and are 45-36 on the season. Minnesota just defeated Arizona in a series in which they prevailed in two of the three games.
The Twins had won all four against the Athletics, lost two of three against the Rays, and won two of three against the Athletics before to that series. Minnesota sits second in the AL Central and has won 10 of their previous 14 games.
The pitching staff in Minnesota has a 1.19 WHIP, a 4.19 ERA, and an opponent batting average of.238. With a on base percentage of.320 and a batting average of.249, the Twins offense has scored 392 runs.
For the Twins this season, Carlos Correa is hitting.309 with eight home runs and 38 RBIs. Five of Minnesota’s past seven games have seen at least five runs scored.
Starting Pitchers
Logan Gilbert, who has tossed 106.1 innings this season and is 5-4 with a 2.71 ERA and 0.89 WHIP, is expected to start for Seattle. Gilbert has gone two outings in a row with no earned runs in 16.0 innings and has given up one earned run or less in three of his previous four starts.
Bailey Ober, who has tossed 82.0 innings this season and is 7-4 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.11 WHIP, is expected to start for Minnesota. In three of his previous five starts, Ober has given up three earned runs or more; however, in his last two appearances, he has given up just three earned runs overall.
Why the Mariners will beat the Twins
The Twins have lost each of their last 10 road games against teams that held a winning record.
The Mariners have won each of their last eight Friday home games against American League opponents.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against teams that held a winning record.
The Mariners have covered the run line in each of their last six home games following a road win.
The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Twins will beat the Mariners
The Twins have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against AL West opponents.
The Mariners have lost each of their last four games as favorites against the Twins following a road win.
The Mariners have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against the Twins following a win.
The Twins have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games at T-Mobile Park against teams that held a winning record.
The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven night games against the Mariners.
The Mariners have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three games as favorites.
Total Runs Facts
Six of the Twins’ last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
Five of the last six games between the Twins and Mariners have gone OVER the total runs line.
The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mariners’ last seven games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last three games as underdogs.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
Josh Rojas has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances after not playing the previous day.
Mitch Garver has hit a home run in each of the Mariners’ last two night games.
Mitch Garver has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last five appearances in night games.
J.P. Crawford has scored at least one run in each of his last 10 Friday appearances.
Logan Gilbert has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against AL opponents.
Julio Rodriguez has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Mariners’ last nine games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Ty France has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last 10 home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Ty France has recorded at least one total base in each of the Mariners’ last 10 home games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
Logan Gilbert ranks 10th amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.71) this season.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
Trevor Larnach has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
Byron Buxton has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against AL opponents.
Carlos Correa has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
Bailey Ober has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against AL West opponents.
Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
Carlos Correa has recorded at least one Single in each of the Twins’ last six road games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
Bailey Ober has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL West opponents.
Carlos Correa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances with the Twins as underdogs against AL West opponents.
Manuel Margot has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances at T-Mobile Park.
Carlos Correa ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.309) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
The Seattle Mariners rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (838).
The Seattle Mariners rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (199).
The Minnesota Twins rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (161).
The Minnesota Twins rank 4th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.424).
Seattle Mariners vs Minnesota Twins Prediction
Although Seattle leads the AL West going into this series, their lead is dwindling as a result of their poor play lately. The Twins are 22–20 on the road this year and have been among the MLB’s hottest teams in recent weeks. Seattle is 27-12 at home, where they have experienced the majority of their success.
However, they need to start winning streaks. I predict a lower scoring game because both of these starting pitchers have been excellent lately. My guess for the Seattle Mariners vs. Minnesota Twins game is that the total will be below.
